Tuesday, May 8, 2012

Preview Giro Stage #4 Team Time Trial

Rest day today on the Giro, but I take this time for presenting you a big preview of the tomorrow's stage.




Read my table to find the to find the favorites of the TTT, but firstly I have to explain you how it works. 
The "team total gap" differentiate teams. It's counted on the total individual time loose to Taylor Phinney in the first TT, in seconds. (A effort on a long TTT is very near of an effort in short TT). 
The other value is the average gap of the five best guys of the team (the time in TTT is couted on the fifth guy) with the best team, here Garmin. It's probably their gap on 10km, so you can multipliate that by three and have an estimation of their gap at the end. 
And finnaly I add some colours to see better team very differents and team who stand near. A team in the same colour but one position up will be probably better in the Giro's TTT but a team one position up but with a "more green" coulour will VERY probably best wednesday. 


I give you ideas of bet, because they are many mistake in the oppening of bets in cycling and with that you'll be able to find them. 

So, for match ups: 

Same colour: bet when team up >2.0 and team down >2.5 
One colour of difference: bet when team up >1.85 and team down >3.0 
Two colours of difference: bet when team up>1.5 and don't bet on team down 

For the stage you can bet on: 

Garmin if >3.0 
Greenedge if >8.0 
Sky if >9.0 

PS: I give you in addition an estimation of the gap of the teams with Garmin. It can help you for your overall standing's bets.
PS2: Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions. It must be not very clear.

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