Tour de France stage 1 betting tips

Cadel Evans to beat Valverde :

This finish, with big slope in the last two kilometers and with low slope in the end suits both of us. We remember the win of Cadel Evans on the Fleche Wallonne in 2010 and at the top of the Mur de Bretagne (very near of this climb) last year. Valverde, as a pure puncher, like this finish too. So, here that’s 50/50, maybe a little advantage for Evans because it’s the Tour and he’s at the maximum of his motivation. But there is the shape: Evans show on the prologue that he improves his shape in comparison with the Dauphiné. But Valverde seems to be in a lesser shape than the Tour de Suisse: In Suisse he losses 27’’ seconds on Cancellara in 7.3km (23^rd) but today he losses 35’’ in 6.4km (116^th). So, Cadel Evans seems to be the best for this stage.

Evans 2pts @2.17 at Pinnacle

Albasini to beat Gerrans:

GreenEDGE say it, they will play with this two men to win a stage in the first week and in particular this stage of Seraing and Boulogne. The question is, who is the best between their? I answer Albasini. First argument, the prologue in normal time, Albasini is a little better than Gerrans on this exercise but here, in beat him for 9 seconds that means 63 positions! This show the shape of Gerrans, he’s tired after a big early season when Albasini take a great shape in Suisse and continue in France. In addition, this irregular slope suits him well. He’s not a better climber but he’s better than Gerrans in very big slope (like on the start of the climb) and in sprint for the win of the stage.

Albasini 2pts @2.04 at Pinnacle

Wiggins to beat Brajkovic:

Wiggins is always in good position in this kind of stage (9^th in stage 2 of the Dauphiné, 10^th in stage 4 of Paris-Nice and winner of one in Romandie) but Brajkovic is not always here. So it’s 60/40.

Wiggins 1pts @2.02 at Pinnacle

Simon to beat Boasson Hagen:

Boasson Hagen is better than Simon on the paper. But the French man can’t try something tomorrow on the only stage made for him. On this kind of stage on the Dauphiné he finishes second. And Boasson Hagen has many leaders to think about in Sky.

Simon 1pts @2.84 at Pinnacle.