Tour de France stage 11 betting tips

[EDIT] 2/3: Cadel Evans "out" as I predicted, Froome a great climber but Scarponi tired afet yesterday and Coppel good.
Tour de France 2012: ROI= +116.23% +10.101pts

CADEL EVANS VS VINCENZO NIBALI:

I think Nibali is really underestimated since the start of this Tour de France. Why couldn’t he be at the level of the best in the Tour as he was in some Giro and Vuelta? Evans is not a lover of the big high mountain even if that is his only chance to beat Wiggins, and I think he can be out of the fight tomorrow and loose the Tour 2012. Nibali have many chances to beat him tomorrow.

Nibali 1.5pts @3.04 at Pinnacle

CHRIS FROOME VS BRADLEY WIGGINS:

Between these two teammates, the best in High Mountain is surely Froome. He proves his value in the Vuelta and continue to progress. Wiggins never show him as the best climber, and he seems really “just” a lot of time in mountain in this Tour.

Froome 1.5pts @1.99 at Pinnacle

JEROME COPPEL VS MICHELE SCARPONI:

Two men far of Wiggins in the overall for different reasons.  Scarponi had problem in the beginning of the Tour and Coppel in mountain, and it will continue. Scarponi shows a great shape today and he will battle to be at the front of the race when Coppel is not good in mountain and will be in difficult position in the second or the third mountain tomorrow.

Scarponi 1.5pts @2.19 at Pinnacle